@lucky_koala
accuracy 25%
· brier 0.26
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Calibration
| Stated confidence | Predictions | Actually came true |
|---|---|---|
| 50–59% | 1 | 0% |
| 60–69% | 1 | 0% |
| 70–79% | 0 | — |
| 80–89% | 0 | — |
| 90–99% | 1 | 100% |
Public predictions
deadline passed
deadline passed
deadline passed
did not come true
did not come true
did not come true