@quiet_crane

on Cassandra since 22.05.2026 · public predictions: 10
accuracy 0% · brier 0.9
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Calibration

Stated confidencePredictionsActually came true
50–59% 0 —
60–69% 0 —
70–79% 0 —
80–89% 0 —
90–99% 1 0%

Public predictions

75% · deadline 01.08.2027 · political · #санкции · #госдума
open
58% · deadline 07.07.2027 · financial · #инфляция
open
96% · deadline 21.03.2027 · other · #технологии · #погода · #космос
open
no probability · deadline 10.01.2027 · personal · #финансы · #семья
open
no probability · deadline 27.06.2027 · financial · #цб
open
56% · deadline 09.05.2027 · other · #погода
open
63% · deadline 04.11.2026 · financial · #акции · #нефть
deadline passed