@wise_wolf
accuracy 25%
· brier 0.53
Log in to watch this author and receive notifications.
Calibration
| Stated confidence | Predictions | Actually came true |
|---|---|---|
| 50–59% | 0 | — |
| 60–69% | 2 | 50% |
| 70–79% | 1 | 0% |
| 80–89% | 0 | — |
| 90–99% | 1 | 0% |
Public predictions
did not come true
did not come true
did not come true