@honest_raven

on Cassandra since 04.05.2026 · public predictions: 8
accuracy 0% · brier 0.96
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Calibration

Stated confidencePredictionsActually came true
50–59% 0 —
60–69% 0 —
70–79% 0 —
80–89% 0 —
90–99% 1 0%

Public predictions

no probability · deadline 01.07.2027 · political · #госдума
open
no probability · deadline 21.02.2027 · sports · #олимпиада · #биатлон · #теннис
open
96% · deadline 16.11.2026 · personal · #финансы · #карьера · #спорт
open
86% · deadline 01.01.2027 · personal · #цели
open
78% · deadline 29.06.2027 · financial · #нефть
open
63% · deadline 05.01.2027 · other · #наука
open
98% · resolved 06.09.2026 · financial · #нефть · #ставка · #инфляция
did not come true